Articles

Forensic Updates

Biomarkers and Imaging in Predicting Brain Injury Outcomes

Dr. Sam Goldstein

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is one of the most complex conditions encountered in forensic and medical practice. While traditional diagnostic tools such as CT or MRI scans reveal structural damage, many patients with persistent cognitive, behavioral, or emotional symptoms have unremarkable imaging. This diagnostic gap has fueled a surge of interest in biomarkers and advanced neuroimaging techniques as tools for predicting outcomes, guiding treatment, and, importantly, informing legal proceedings.

Blood-Based Biomarkers: GFAP, UCH-L1, and Beyond

Two biomarkers, glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and ubiquitin carboxy-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1)β€”are leading candidates in predicting TBI outcomes. GFAP, an astrocytic protein, rises in serum after astroglial injury (anything related to astrocytes, a type of glial cell in the central nervous system), while UCH-L1, a neuronal enzyme, signals axonal damage. Both have been approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration as adjuncts for evaluating mild TBI within the first 12 hours of injury.

Emerging evidence suggests these markers are not only diagnostic but also prognostic. Wilde, Wanner, Kenney, and Gill (2022) highlighted how GFAP and UCH-L1 levels, when coupled with imaging, could stratify patients by recovery potential. Early elevated levels have been associated with prolonged hospitalization, cognitive deficits, and delayed return to work or daily functioning. Such information may prove invaluable in legal contexts, where prognosis is central to determining damages and long-term care needs.

MicroRNAs (miRNAs), small non-coding RNAs that regulate gene expression, are another promising class of biomarkers. Albano, Stassi, Argo, and Zerbo (2023) reviewed evidence that specific miRNAs correlate with axonal injury and secondary neuroinflammation, processes closely tied to persistent symptoms. Forensic application of these molecular markers could provide objective evidence in cases where subjective complaints are disputed.

Neuroimaging Advances: DTI and Functional MRI

While conventional imaging often fails to capture subtle injury, advanced modalities are reshaping the landscape. Diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) allows quantification of white matter integrity by measuring water diffusion along axonal tracts. Disruptions revealed on DTI frequently correspond to clinical symptoms even when MRI appears normal.

Similarly, functional MRI (fMRI), particularly resting-state fMRI, has shown predictive power in mild TBI. Puig, Ellis, Kornelsen, and Figley (2020) demonstrated that connectivity disruptions detected within the first month post-injury correlated with long-term cognitive outcomes. These findings suggest that fMRI can provide early prognostic insights, guiding both rehabilitation strategies and medico-legal evaluations.

Neuroinformatics approaches are also advancing prognostic accuracy. Zeiler, Iturria-Medina, Thelin, and Gomez (2021) advocated for integrating multimodal data including clinical, biomarker, and imaging, into predictive models using machine learning. These models hold the promise of generating individualized recovery profiles, a critical development in the age of precision medicine.

Personalized Medicine in TBI Recovery

The convergence of biomarkers and neuroimaging reflects the broader shift toward personalized medicine. No two TBIs are alike: severity, location, mechanism, and host factors like age and comorbidities influence outcomes. By combining molecular and imaging signatures, clinicians can tailor rehabilitation strategies to the individual patient.

This is particularly important in forensic contexts, where attorneys, insurers, and courts must evaluate the credibility of persistent symptoms. A patient with normal CT scans but elevated GFAP or disrupted DTI tracts may present objective evidence of injury, bolstering claims for damages or long-term disability. Conversely, absence of these indicators may be cited by opposing parties, raising ethical questions about the interpretation and admissibility of such evidence.

Forensic and Legal Implications

For attorneys, the integration of biomarkers and imaging into brain injury litigation carries profound implications. Historically, brain injury claims often hinged on clinical testimony, neuropsychological testing, and subjective reports of symptoms. These measures, while valuable, are vulnerable to challenges regarding malingering or exaggeration.

Objective biomarkers and imaging findings may strengthen the evidentiary basis of claims. They could support arguments for compensatory damages, long-term care, or rehabilitation costs by providing biological proof of ongoing pathology. At the same time, defense attorneys may attempt to leverage absent or normal results to undermine claims.

Courts will likely face growing debates over admissibility, particularly under Daubert or Frye standards. The evolving nature of biomarker science raises questions about reliability, validity, and general acceptance in the scientific community. Attorneys must remain vigilant, consulting forensic experts who can contextualize findings and address limitations.

Moreover, the predictive capacity of these tools could influence settlement negotiations. If biomarkers suggest a poor long-term prognosis, plaintiffs may push for higher compensation, while defense may seek early settlement to avoid escalating costs. Conversely, predictions of good recovery may shift negotiations in the opposite direction.

Conclusion

Biomarkers such as GFAP and UCH-L1, coupled with advanced imaging like DTI and fMRI, are transforming how we evaluate and predict outcomes after TBI. For clinicians, these tools offer the possibility of earlier and more personalized rehabilitation. For forensic experts and attorneys, they provide new avenues of objective evidence in cases historically reliant on subjective testimony.

As these technologies advance, their influence on litigation will only grow. Attorneys handling brain injury cases must remain informed about biomarker and imaging research, not only to leverage these tools in court but also to critically assess their admissibility and limitations. In the evolving landscape of brain injury law, the marriage of science and justice will be tested by the precision of these emerging diagnostic frontiers.

References

Albano, G. D., Stassi, C., Argo, A., & Zerbo, S. (2023). An overview on the use of miRNAs as possible forensic biomarkers for the diagnosis of traumatic brain injury. International Journal of Molecular Sciences, 24(7), 6503.

Puig, J., Ellis, M. J., Kornelsen, J., & Figley, T. D. (2020). Magnetic resonance imaging biomarkers of brain connectivity in predicting outcome after mild traumatic brain injury: A systematic review. Journal of Neurotrauma, 37(1), 1–15.

Wilde, E. A., Wanner, I. B., Kenney, K., & Gill, J. (2022). A framework to advance biomarker development in the diagnosis, outcome prediction, and treatment of traumatic brain injury. Journal of Neurotrauma, 39(1–2), 41–49.

Zeiler, F. A., Iturria-Medina, Y., Thelin, E. P., & Gomez, A. (2021). Integrative neuroinformatics for precision prognostication and personalized therapeutics in moderate and severe traumatic brain injury. Frontiers in Neurology, 12, 729184.